7 April 2025. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called for increased Arctic defence collaboration with the United States during a visit to Greenland on 3 April 2025, and firmly dismissed the US desire to annex the semi-autonomous Danish territory. “This is not only about Greenland or Denmark, this is about...
Read More7 April 2025. US President Donald Trump has signed off on the UK’s handover of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, as Downing Street has indicated, paving the way for the UK to cede sovereignty over its last African colony after a six-month standoff [1]. A spokesperson for British Prime Minister...
Read More7 April 2025. Bougainville Independence Leaders Consultation Forum has passed key resolutions and recommended 1 September 2027 as the date for Bougainville’s independence on 11 March 2025 meeting [1]. The Forum goes further to say that the Papua New Guinea (PNG) national government holds no authority to veto the referendum...
Read Morestatesuccessionindex.org is a new platform to assess the probability of state succession and measure the dynamics of processes that could lead to state succession and predict its possible effects.
Our Vision & Aim
States are not static and they could undergo changes which lead to new forms of statehood, governance, legal system and cooperation.
State Succession Index aims to contribute to stability of international legal, diplomatic and commercial arrangements, the rule of law, protection of human rights, and smooth transition for states regardless of their developmental context.
The notion of State Succession
The Index uses a new approach to state succession to address the issues of international law and policy that contemporary succession raises. In this context, the term “State Succession” refers to the succession of both states and governments with some specifics. In particular, by succession we mean the process by which a state essentially modifies its structures of power and authority; and in this case any potential disruptions to existing international arrangements require being addressed with an authoritative international response.
We believe state successions will continue to happen because there are powerful centrifugal forces at work in the world. Nowadays, every succession may have significant worldwide consequences. It was once thought that only the predecessor state and its successor states were impacted by a state succession’s effect. States, organisations, and even people are now closely entwined in legal, political, commercial, military, and diplomatic relationships. Because of this intricate worldwide web, the state succession has a significant influence on ever-widening rings of participants and processes.
Mirbek Sydygaliev, Acting Associate Professor of International Law, founded the State Succession Index in 2023 following his graduation from Oxford University, where he completed his Master’s dissertation on State Succession in International Law.
With expertise in public international law, diplomatic law, and the law of state succession, Mirbek brings a well-rounded blend of academic insight and practical experience. He previously worked at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Kyrgyz Republic, where he gained hands-on knowledge in public international law and encountered complex issues related to state succession. Additionally, he contributed to the UN Development Programme, focusing on parliamentary development and the rule of law.
This combination of scholarly research and real-world experience inspired the creation of the State Succession Index, a project designed to address and analyse state succession issues with practical relevance.
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